#1 Houston vs #16 Longwood Free Pick and Prediction – March 22
🏀 March Madness is here! Can #16 Longwood pull an upset against #1 Houston? Check our prediction! 🎲
Game matchup:
March 22, 8:20 PM EST
Spread and Odds
| Team | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Longwood | +23.5 | 129.5 (-105) |
| Houston | -23.5 | 129.5 (-115) |
Overall Betting Records
| Team | Overall record | ATS record | Over/Under Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longwood | 21-13-0 | 16-15-0 | 17-14-0 |
| Houston | 30-4-0 | 16-16-2 | 14-20-0 |
Key Matchup Statistics
| Statistic | Houston | Longwood |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 73 (159th) | 73.8 (141st) |
| Opponents Points Per Game | 57 (1st) | 69.7 (91st) |
| Possessions Per Game | 66.2 (347th) | 68.8 (269th) |
| True Shooting % | 105.3 (239th) | 109.7 (130th) |
| Opponents True Shooting % | 96.3 (2nd) | 110 (242nd) |
| Three Points Shooting % | 34.7 (142nd) | 33.7 (191st) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 0.86 (1st) | 1.013 (138th) |
Statistical Analysis
Houston's defense tops the charts, showcasing their #1 ranking in both Opponents Points Per Game and Defensive Efficiency. The stark contrast in Opponents True Shooting % shows Houston's robust defensive play against Longwood's vulnerability. Longwood's recent improvement in offensive efficiency, shown in their last three games stats, hints at potential, yet Houston’s overpowering defense may prove too challenging.
Betting Trends section:
Houston has been a dominant force, but their ATS record mirrors their opponents', suggesting potential overvaluation by the market. Longwood's ability to score, combined with their recent uptick in efficiency, might just make them a tricky opponent for Houston, despite the sizable spread.
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Betting advice:
Considering Houston's defensive prowess and both teams' mixed ATS records, betting on Longwood to cover seems a gutsy yet potentially rewarding strategy. The Over/Under is a tight call, but given the defensive nature of Houston, the Under might be the safer play.
Game prediction:
While Houston is likely to win, Longwood's recent performance suggests they can cover the +23.5 spread. 🤞 Look towards the Under on points, anticipating Houston's defense to control the game's pace. 💪
Summary section
- Houston's defense is a game-changer, but the spread is vast. 🛡️
- Longwood's efficiency uptick could make them competitive against the spread. 📈
- Playing the Under might be wise, reflecting Houston’s defensive hold. 🏀
Dom Luciano, a true patriarch in the betting world, offers guidance with the authority of a don. His game insights are whispered in hushed tones over candlelit tables, leading many to victory with the stealth of a cat burglar.
