#3 Kentucky vs #14 Troy Free Pick and Prediction – March 21

#3 Kentucky vs #14 Troy Free Pick and Prediction – March 21

πŸ€ NCAAB Matchup! Can Kentucky cover -11.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!

Tonight, #14 Troy face off against #3 Kentucky in an NCAAB matchup at 7:10 PM EST. Bovada has Kentucky as -11.5 favorites with a total of 151.5 points. Who will come out on top in this NCAA clash? Let’s break down the stats.

Game Details

  • Matchup: #14 Troy @ #3 Kentucky
  • Date/Time: March 21, 2025, 7:10 PM EST
  • Venue: Kentucky Home Arena
  • Broadcast: TBD

Current Betting Lines (Bovada)

TeamSpreadTotal
Troy11.5 (-105)O 151.5
Kentucky-11.5 (-115)U 151.5

Team Comparison and Key Stats

Troy (Away)

  • Record: 23-10-0 (69.7% )
  • Team Ranking: #107
  • Team Rating: 4.4
  • ATS: 21-11-0 (65.6% )
  • Over/Under: 15-17-0 (46.9% to Over)
  • Away PPG: 68.9
  • Away Opponents PPG: 64.5

Kentucky (Home)

  • Record: 22-11-0 (66.7% )
  • Team Ranking: #18
  • Team Rating: 17.6
  • ATS: 16-17-0 (48.5% )
  • Over/Under: 19-14-0 (57.6% to Over)
  • Home PPG: 90.7
  • Home Opponents PPG: 72.8

Team Statistics Comparison

CategoryTroy (Away)Kentucky (Home)
Season Record23-10-022-11-0
Win Rate69.7%66.7%
Points Per Game72.5 (#180)85.3 (#4🟒)
Offensive Efficiency1.055 (#134)1.146 (#13🟒)
Defensive Efficiency0.961 (#22🟒)1.046 (#201)
Turnovers Per Game13.3 (#309)11.1 (#114)
True Shooting %108.2% (#181)118.3% (#18🟒)
3-Point Shooting %30.3% (#339)37.4% (#24🟒)
Opponents 3-Point %32.6% (#107)30.8% (#32🟒)
Recent PPG (Last 3)82.782
ATS Record21-11-016-17-0
ATS Cover %65.6%48.5%

Betting Trends and Insights

  • Troy is 65.6% ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Kentucky has gone Over in 57.6% of their last 10 home games.

Prediction and Free Pick

Prediction: Kentucky’s edge at home should shine, but Kentucky keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.

Free Pick: Kentucky -11.5 (-110) – β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.

Model Prediction

  • Projected Winner: Kentucky by 13.4 points
  • Current Spread: Kentucky -11.5
  • Pick: Kentucky -11.5
  • Confidence: Medium

Note: This pick shows solid value based on our model.

Conclusion

The Troy-Kentucky clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Kentucky -11.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts belowβ€”happy wagering!

Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.

Author - OWR Analytics
Written by OWR Analytics

AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.