#3 Kentucky vs #14 Troy Free Pick and Prediction – March 21
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Kentucky cover -11.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Tonight, #14 Troy face off against #3 Kentucky in an NCAAB matchup at 7:10 PM EST. Bovada has Kentucky as -11.5 favorites with a total of 151.5 points. Who will come out on top in this NCAA clash? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #14 Troy @ #3 Kentucky
- Date/Time: March 21, 2025, 7:10 PM EST
- Venue: Kentucky Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Troy | 11.5 (-105) | O 151.5 |
| Kentucky | -11.5 (-115) | U 151.5 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Troy (Away)
- Record: 23-10-0 (69.7% )
- Team Ranking: #107
- Team Rating: 4.4
- ATS: 21-11-0 (65.6% )
- Over/Under: 15-17-0 (46.9% to Over)
- Away PPG: 68.9
- Away Opponents PPG: 64.5
Kentucky (Home)
- Record: 22-11-0 (66.7% )
- Team Ranking: #18
- Team Rating: 17.6
- ATS: 16-17-0 (48.5% )
- Over/Under: 19-14-0 (57.6% to Over)
- Home PPG: 90.7
- Home Opponents PPG: 72.8
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Troy (Away) | Kentucky (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 23-10-0 | 22-11-0 |
| Win Rate | 69.7% | 66.7% |
| Points Per Game | 72.5 (#180) | 85.3 (#4🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.055 (#134) | 1.146 (#13🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 0.961 (#22🟢) | 1.046 (#201) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 13.3 (#309) | 11.1 (#114) |
| True Shooting % | 108.2% (#181) | 118.3% (#18🟢) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 30.3% (#339) | 37.4% (#24🟢) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 32.6% (#107) | 30.8% (#32🟢) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 82.7 | 82 |
| ATS Record | 21-11-0 | 16-17-0 |
| ATS Cover % | 65.6% | 48.5% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Troy is 65.6% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Kentucky has gone Over in 57.6% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Prediction: Kentucky’s edge at home should shine, but Kentucky keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.
Free Pick: Kentucky -11.5 (-110) – ★☆☆☆☆
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.
Model Prediction
- Projected Winner: Kentucky by 13.4 points
- Current Spread: Kentucky -11.5
- Pick: Kentucky -11.5
- Confidence: Medium
Note: This pick shows solid value based on our model.
Conclusion
The Troy-Kentucky clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Kentucky -11.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
