#7 Michigan State vs #23 Oregon Free Pick and Prediction – March 14

#7 Michigan State vs #23 Oregon Free Pick and Prediction – March 14

πŸ€ NCAAB Matchup! Can Michigan State cover -6.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!

Today, #23 Oregon face off against #7 Michigan State in an NCAAB matchup at 12:00 PM EST. Bovada has Michigan State as -6.5 favorites with a total of 142.5 points. Can #23 Oregon pull off an upset against the red-hot #7 Michigan State, who hold a 83.9% win rate? Let’s break down the stats.

Game Details

  • Matchup: #23 Oregon @ #7 Michigan State
  • Date/Time: March 14, 2025, 12:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Michigan State Home Arena
  • Broadcast: TBD

Current Betting Lines (Bovada)

TeamSpreadTotal
Oregon6.5 (-105)O 142.5
Michigan State-6.5 (-115)U 142.5

Team Comparison and Key Stats

Oregon (Away)

  • Record: 24-8-0 (75.0% )
  • Team Ranking: #31
  • Team Rating: 15.1
  • ATS: 15-16-1 (48.4% )
  • Over/Under: 16-16-0 (50.0% to Over)
  • Away PPG: 74.9
  • Away Opponents PPG: 73.2

Michigan State (Home)

  • Record: 26-5-0 (83.9% )
  • Team Ranking: #11
  • Team Rating: 19.6
  • ATS: 21-9-1 (70.0% )
  • Over/Under: 10-21-0 (32.3% to Over)
  • Home PPG: 81.9
  • Home Opponents PPG: 65.6

Team Statistics Comparison

CategoryOregon (Away)Michigan State (Home)
Season Record24-8-026-5-0
Win Rate75.0%83.9%
Points Per Game76.6 (#84)78.4 (#55🟒)
Offensive Efficiency1.079 (#88)1.104 (#54🟒)
Defensive Efficiency0.998 (#86)0.944 (#17🟒)
Turnovers Per Game11.2 (#122)11.7 (#168)
True Shooting %112.3% (#93)112.1% (#96)
3-Point Shooting %34.3% (#152)30.2% (#339)
Opponents 3-Point %31.3% (#49🟒)28.0% (#3🟒)
Recent PPG (Last 3)7580.3
ATS Record15-16-121-9-1
ATS Cover %48.4%70.0%

Betting Trends and Insights

  • Oregon is 48.4% ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Michigan State has gone Over in 32.3% of their last 10 home games.

Prediction and Free Pick

Prediction: Michigan State’s edge at home should shine, but Michigan State keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.

Free Pick: Michigan State -6.5 (-110) – β˜…β˜…Β½β˜†β˜†
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.

Model Prediction

  • Projected Winner: Michigan State by 12.8 points
  • Current Spread: Michigan State -6.5
  • Pick: Michigan State -6.5
  • Confidence: Strong

Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.

Conclusion

The Oregon-Michigan State clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Michigan State -6.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts belowβ€”happy wagering!

Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.

Author - OWR Analytics
Written by OWR Analytics

AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.