#7 Michigan State vs #23 Oregon Free Pick and Prediction – March 14
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Michigan State cover -6.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Today, #23 Oregon face off against #7 Michigan State in an NCAAB matchup at 12:00 PM EST. Bovada has Michigan State as -6.5 favorites with a total of 142.5 points. Can #23 Oregon pull off an upset against the red-hot #7 Michigan State, who hold a 83.9% win rate? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #23 Oregon @ #7 Michigan State
- Date/Time: March 14, 2025, 12:00 PM EST
- Venue: Michigan State Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 6.5 (-105) | O 142.5 |
| Michigan State | -6.5 (-115) | U 142.5 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Oregon (Away)
- Record: 24-8-0 (75.0% )
- Team Ranking: #31
- Team Rating: 15.1
- ATS: 15-16-1 (48.4% )
- Over/Under: 16-16-0 (50.0% to Over)
- Away PPG: 74.9
- Away Opponents PPG: 73.2
Michigan State (Home)
- Record: 26-5-0 (83.9% )
- Team Ranking: #11
- Team Rating: 19.6
- ATS: 21-9-1 (70.0% )
- Over/Under: 10-21-0 (32.3% to Over)
- Home PPG: 81.9
- Home Opponents PPG: 65.6
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Oregon (Away) | Michigan State (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 24-8-0 | 26-5-0 |
| Win Rate | 75.0% | 83.9% |
| Points Per Game | 76.6 (#84) | 78.4 (#55🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.079 (#88) | 1.104 (#54🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 0.998 (#86) | 0.944 (#17🟢) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 11.2 (#122) | 11.7 (#168) |
| True Shooting % | 112.3% (#93) | 112.1% (#96) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 34.3% (#152) | 30.2% (#339) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 31.3% (#49🟢) | 28.0% (#3🟢) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 75 | 80.3 |
| ATS Record | 15-16-1 | 21-9-1 |
| ATS Cover % | 48.4% | 70.0% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Oregon is 48.4% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Michigan State has gone Over in 32.3% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Prediction: Michigan State’s edge at home should shine, but Michigan State keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.
Free Pick: Michigan State -6.5 (-110) – ★★½☆☆
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.
Model Prediction
- Projected Winner: Michigan State by 12.8 points
- Current Spread: Michigan State -6.5
- Pick: Michigan State -6.5
- Confidence: Strong
Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.
Conclusion
The Oregon-Michigan State clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Michigan State -6.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
