#4 Duke vs #11 NC State Free Pick and Prediction – March 31

#4 Duke vs #11 NC State Free Pick and Prediction – March 31

🏀 Madness peaks: #4 Duke battles #11 NC State! Who'll dominate? 🌟 Our prediction inside! 💥

Game matchup:

March 31, 2024 - The seismic waves of March Madness hit a crescendo as the #4 ranked Duke faces off against the #11 NC State. With bragging rights and a spot deeper in the tournament on the line, this matchup promises high-octane basketball from the opening tip.

Spread and Odds

NC State+7143 (over -110)
Duke-7143 (under -110)

Overall Betting Records

TeamOverall recordATS recordOver/Under Record
NC State25-14-019-19-123-15-1

Key Matchup Statistics

StatisticDukeNC State
Points Per Game79 (37th)76.3 (78th)
Opponents Points Per Game66 (21st)72.2 (160th)
Possessions Per Game68.5 (280th)71 (152nd)
True Shooting %116 (21st)109 (156th)
Opponents True Shooting %102.3 (41st)106.7 (134th)
Three Points Shooting %38 (13th)34.8 (133rd)
Defensive Efficiency0.963 (30th)1.017 (146th)

Statistical Analysis

Duke boasts superior defensive stats and a higher efficiency in true shooting, indicating a significant edge in both defense and shooting accuracy. The 3-point percentage also favors Duke, implying they could stretch the floor better than NC State.

Betting Trends section:

Duke shows consistency with their defensive play, possibly stifling NC State's offense. Given the recent form, Duke's defense could be the game-changer, particularly with their ability to limit opponents' true shooting percentages.

Betting advice:

Considering Duke's formidable defense and efficiency, laying the points with Duke seems like the smarter bet. However, the emotion and unpredictability of March Madness always adds a wrinkle. Keep an eye on the over/under; given Duke's defensive prowess, the under might be worth exploring.

Game prediction:

Given the statistical edge, especially in defensive metrics, Duke should cover the -7 spread. Expect a tough, competitive game, but Duke's efficiency and defensive solidity should see them through. 🏆

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Summary section

  • Duke's defense could potentially overshadow NC State's offense 🛡️
  • Duke's true shooting percentage and 3-point shooting offer a solid edge 🎯
  • Exploring the under might be a prudent strategy given the defensive statistics of Duke ⏬
Author - Rico Fortunato
Written by Rico Fortunato

Rico 'Lucky Charm' Fortunato sees the game through the eyes of a seasoned bettor, his predictions as accurate as a hitman's aim. Betting is in his blood, making the odds bow to his will.