San Diego State vs Yale Free Pick and Prediction – March 24

San Diego State vs Yale Free Pick and Prediction – March 24

🏀 March Madness Madness! #5 San Diego State battles #13 Yale 🎲 Get our free pick and insider betting advice! 🌟

Game matchup:

  • March 24, 8:40 PM EST
  • San Diego State (Ranked #5) vs Yale (Ranked #13)

Spread and Odds

Yale+6132 (Over -115)
San Diego State-6132 (Under -105)

Overall Betting Records

TeamOverall recordATS recordOver/Under Record
San Diego State25-10-013-20-016-17-0

Key Matchup Statistics

StatisticSan Diego StateYale
Points Per Game74 (131st)73.7 (141st)
Opponents Points Per Game67.3 (42nd)68.4 (64th)
Possessions Per Game69.9 (222nd)68.3 (291st)
True Shooting %107.7 (194th)109.8 (126th)
Opponents True Shooting %101.7 (30th)106.6 (131st)
Three Points Shooting %31.2 (309th)34.9 (129th)
Opponents Three Points Shooting %30.6 (21st)34 (194th)
Defensive Efficiency0.963 (30th)1.001 (105th)

Statistical Analysis

When the titans clash in this round of March Madness, it's more than just a game; it's a statistical odyssey. San Diego State, with their superior defensive efficiency (30th), looks to stifle Yale's slightly more efficient offense (70th in offensive efficiency). Yale's higher True Shooting Percentage (109.8, 126th) and their prowess from beyond the arc (34.9%, 129th) pose a potent threat to any defense, but they'll be tested against San Diego State's lower opponents' true shooting percentage (101.7, 30th).

Betting Trends section:

Yale shines with a higher cover percentage (57.1% ATS) compared to San Diego State's struggle to cover (39.4% ATS). However, the recent form seems to favor the defensive rigor, with San Diego State allowing fewer points to opponents in the latest games.

Betting advice

Considering Yale's ability to shoot from deep and their ATS record, they could very well cover the +6 spread. However, the defensive stability of San Diego State should not be underestimated, especially in a tournament setting where defense often prevails.

Game prediction:

We're leaning slightly towards Yale +6 😈 based on their ability to cover and their shooting efficiency. The under on the point total also seems like a safer bet considering the defensive metrics of San Diego State.

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Summary section

  • 🏀 Yale's three-point shooting vs. San Diego State's defense is the key battle.
  • 💪 Defensive prowess might define the pace but don't count out the underdog.
  • 🍀 Lean on Yale +6 and consider the under on the total points.
Author - Rico Fortunato
Written by Rico Fortunato

Rico 'Lucky Charm' Fortunato sees the game through the eyes of a seasoned bettor, his predictions as accurate as a hitman's aim. Betting is in his blood, making the odds bow to his will.