#3 Illinois vs #11 Duquesne Free Pick and Prediction โ March 23
๐ Madness Alert! Will #3 Illinois dominate, or can #11 Duquesne pull a surprise? Check out our free pick! ๐ช๏ธ๐ฎ
Game matchup:
March 23, 2024, 8:40 PM EST
Spread and Odds
Team | Spread | Over/Under |
---|---|---|
Duquesne | +10.5 | 146.5 (-115) |
Illinois | -10.5 | 146.5 (-105) |
Overall Betting Records
Team | Overall record | ATS record | Over/Under Record |
---|---|---|---|
Duquesne | 25-11-0 | 19-16-0 | 9-25-1 |
Illinois | 27-8-0 | 19-13-3 | 25-10-0 |
Key Matchup Statistics
Statistic | Illinois | Duquesne |
---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 84.4 (8th) | 70.1 (250th) |
Opponents Points Per Game | 73.7 (212th) | 66.6 (29th) |
Possessions Per Game | 72.5 (77th) | 68.5 (281st) |
True Shooting % | 115.5 (31st) | 107.1 (211th) |
Opponents True Shooting % | 102.2 (40th) | 103.6 (62nd) |
Three Points Shooting % | 35.3 (101st) | 34 (175th) |
Defensive Efficiency | 1.016 (145th) | 0.972 (39th) |
Statistical Analysis
Illinois boasts a high-powered offense, ranking 8th in points per game with an average of 84.4, compared to Duquesneโs 70.1. However, Duquesneโs defense has been more efficient, ranking 39th in defensive efficiency. Illinois's true shooting percentage is significantly higher, indicating they are more efficient with their shooting opportunities.
Betting Trends section:
Illinois's games have consistently hit the over, with a 25-10-0 over/under record. Meanwhile, Duquesne tends towards lower-scoring games, evident in their 9-25-1 over/under record. Illinois's recent games show an increase in offensive efficiency, which could play a critical role in this matchup.
Betting advice
Considering Illinois's strong offensive capabilities and their trend towards high-scoring games, the over seems like a tempting bet. However, Duquesne's solid defense might slow them down, making the spread a tricky bet. Watch for how Duquesne handles Illinois's shooting efficiency.
Game prediction:
Given the statistical analysis, Illinois is likely to win but covering the 10.5 spread could be challenging against Duquesneโs defense. The over on 146.5 points is appealing given Illinois's offensive trends. ๐ฏ
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Summary section
- Illinois's potent offense could clash with Duquesne's efficient defense ๐ก๏ธโ๏ธ
- The over is tempting, given Illinois's trend towards high-scoring games ๐
- The spread is dicey, but Illinois might just pull through ๐ฒ
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